For each narrative in today's edition the writer names the past case its join most resembles and how that went, lays out two or three paths it could take over the coming weeks to a year, favours one and says why, and says where the trajectory points over a decade. This is anticipation, drawn on what the model knows of history and politics and not only on the headlines, and it is kept apart from the evidence. The expectations above are the earliest dated signs of each favoured path: when they fail, so does the path.